Match

King's Lynn Town vs Buxton: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Walks, King's Lynn, Norfolk

King's Lynn TownBuxton

The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for King's Lynn Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win King's Lynn Town vs Buxton?

Buxton starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,883 vs 1,761).

King's Lynn Town win22 %
Draw25 %
Buxton win53 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, King's Lynn Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Buxton have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

King's Lynn Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Marine(home)1-4National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Brackley Town(away)2-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Chester(away)0-2National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Harborough Town(home)1-1National League - North
Jul 4, 2026Norwich(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Buxton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hebburn Town(home)1-2National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Bedford Town(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Southport(away)1-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Hereford(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Warrington Town(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 King's Lynn Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Buxton win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 24, 2026Buxton 1-2 King's Lynn TownNational League - North
Nov 25, 2025King's Lynn Town 3-2 BuxtonNational League - North
Mar 22, 2025Buxton 0-1 King's Lynn TownNational League - North
Oct 19, 2024King's Lynn Town 2-0 BuxtonNational League - North
Jan 13, 2024Buxton 2-2 King's Lynn TownNational League - North
Oct 7, 2023King's Lynn Town 1-3 BuxtonNational League - North

Last archived meeting: Buxton vs King's Lynn Town on Feb 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

King's Lynn Town score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
King's Lynn Town1.11.647/156/15
Buxton2.11.2410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

King's Lynn Town sit 16th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Buxton sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Buxton4112564
16King's Lynn Town4112474

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for King's Lynn Town vs Buxton?
The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for King's Lynn Town.
Where and when is King's Lynn Town vs Buxton played?
King's Lynn Town vs Buxton is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Walks, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: King's Lynn Town and Buxton

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