Bylis vs Pogradeci: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Adush Muça, Ballsh
The Footlab AI model makes Bylis the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Pogradeci. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bylis wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bylis vs Pogradeci?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Bylis (1,713) and Pogradeci (1,752).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bylis vs Pogradeci
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bylis
4-3-3- 77Pedro Vieira
- 4P. Marku
- 7R. Abdullahi
- 76A. Përgjoni
- 16O. Adeduro
- 6O. Kané
- 27K. Mouctar
- 44A. Marku
- 19D. Dimov
- 17A. Camara
- 25R. Ozols
Pogradeci
4-3-3- 8Georgios Lleshaj
- 90K. Preknicaj
- 20Indio Oliveira
- 97M. Shanaj
- 7B. Greca
- 31Suleiman Danladi
- 2K. Toshevski
- 18A. Samake
- 13Vilson Lila
- 22P. Kasmollari
- 24Marin Stanic
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bylis have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Pogradeci have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FK Kukesi(home) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Albpetrol Patos(home) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Besëlidhja Lezhë(home) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Oriku(away) | 2-1 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(away) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Delvina(home) | 7-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Flamurtari(home) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| Sep 16, 2026 | FK Kukesi(away) | 3-0 | 1st Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë(home) | 2-1 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Bylis wins, 0 draws, 0 Pogradeci wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2022 | Bylis 7-1 Pogradeci | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2022 | Pogradeci 0-3 Bylis | Cup |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Bylis 1-0 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Pogradeci 1-2 Bylis | 1st Division |
| Feb 10, 2019 | Pogradeci 0-3 Bylis | 1st Division |
| Oct 28, 2018 | Bylis 1-0 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Bylis score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pogradeci score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bylis | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Pogradeci | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bylis sit 1st in 1st Division (9 points from 5 matches) and Pogradeci sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bylis | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Pogradeci | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
A question about Bylis vs Pogradeci?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bylis vs Pogradeci?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bylis the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Pogradeci.
- Where and when is Bylis vs Pogradeci played?
- Bylis vs Pogradeci is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Adush Muça, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.