Bylis vs Pogradeci: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Adush Muça, Ballsh
The Footlab model makes Bylis the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Pogradeci. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bylis vs Pogradeci?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Bylis (1,720) and Pogradeci (1,734).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bylis have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Pogradeci have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Vora(away) | 2-5 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | AF Elbasani(home) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| May 2, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 2-0 | Superliga |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Teuta Durrës(home) | 2-0 | Superliga |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Partizani(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Teuta Durrës(away) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| May 11, 2026 | Besa Kavajë(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| May 7, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë(home) | 3-0 | Superliga |
| May 3, 2026 | Luftëtari(away) | 0-3 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Skenderbeu Korce(home) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Bylis win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Pogradeci win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2022 | Bylis 7-1 Pogradeci | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2022 | Pogradeci 0-3 Bylis | Cup |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Bylis 1-0 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Pogradeci 1-2 Bylis | 1st Division |
| Feb 10, 2019 | Pogradeci 0-3 Bylis | 1st Division |
| Oct 28, 2018 | Bylis 1-0 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Bylis score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pogradeci score 2.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bylis | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Pogradeci | 2.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pogradeci | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 63 | 31 | 68 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bylis vs Pogradeci?
- The Footlab model makes Bylis the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Pogradeci.
- Where and when is Bylis vs Pogradeci played?
- Bylis vs Pogradeci is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Adush Muça, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.