Kastrioti Krujë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Redi Maloku, Fushë-Krujë
The Footlab model makes Kastrioti Krujë the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Iliria Fushë-Krujë. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kastrioti Krujë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Kastrioti Krujë (1,520) and Iliria Fushë-Krujë (1,596).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kastrioti Krujë have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Iliria Fushë-Krujë have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Pogradeci(away) | 0-3 | Superliga |
| May 3, 2026 | Lushnja(away) | 4-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Luftëtari(home) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Skenderbeu Korce(away) | 0-4 | 1st Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Laci(home) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Besa Kavajë(home) | 0-2 | Superliga |
| May 3, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Apolonia Fier(home) | 2-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lushnja(away) | 3-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Luftëtari(home) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kastrioti Krujë win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Iliria Fushë-Krujë win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë 1-0 Kastrioti Krujë | 1st Division |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë 0-1 Kastrioti Krujë | 1st Division |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Kastrioti Krujë 1-1 Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 1st Division |
| Apr 15, 2017 | Kastrioti Krujë 2-3 Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 1st Division |
| Mar 11, 2017 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë 1-0 Kastrioti Krujë | 1st Division |
| Dec 17, 2016 | Kastrioti Krujë 1-2 Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs Kastrioti Krujë on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kastrioti Krujë score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Iliria Fushë-Krujë score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kastrioti Krujë | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kastrioti Krujë sit 6th in 1st Division (39 points from 33 matches) and Iliria Fushë-Krujë sit 4th (45 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 33 | 45 |
| 6 | Kastrioti Krujë | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 44 | 57 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kastrioti Krujë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
- The Footlab model makes Kastrioti Krujë the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Iliria Fushë-Krujë.
- Where and when is Kastrioti Krujë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë played?
- Kastrioti Krujë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Redi Maloku, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.