Flamurtari vs Besëlidhja Lezhë: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Flamurtari, Vlorë
The Footlab model makes Flamurtari the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Besëlidhja Lezhë. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flamurtari vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?
Flamurtari starts as the favourite with a 292-point Elo edge (1,734 vs 1,441).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flamurtari have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Besëlidhja Lezhë have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 0-2 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | Teuta Durrës(home) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| May 2, 2026 | Partizani(away) | 4-1 | Superliga |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(home) | 3-1 | Superliga |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 2-0 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Apolonia Fier(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Gramshi(home) | 2-0 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Luzi 2008(away) | 1-3 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Sopoti Librazhd(home) | 1-1 | 2nd Division - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Flamurtari win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Besëlidhja Lezhë win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2023 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 0-3 Flamurtari | 1st Division |
| Dec 21, 2022 | Flamurtari 2-2 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Flamurtari on May 7, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Flamurtari score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Besëlidhja Lezhë score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamurtari | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flamurtari vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?
- The Footlab model makes Flamurtari the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Besëlidhja Lezhë.
- Where and when is Flamurtari vs Besëlidhja Lezhë played?
- Flamurtari vs Besëlidhja Lezhë is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Flamurtari, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.