Caen vs Quevilly: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 16Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
The Footlab AI model makes Caen the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Quevilly. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caen wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caen vs Quevilly?
On Elo ratings, Caen has 1,801 points and Quevilly 1,762.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caen vs Quevilly
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caen
4-3-3- 9F. El Khoumisti
- 20Keelyan Portut
- 10I. Botella
- 24Léo Milliner
- 25Z. Bagbema
- 18J. Bomo
- 3D. Bolumbu
- 23L. Carole
- 12D. Appiah
- 5Y. Diaby
- 16Y. Clémentia
Quevilly
3-5-2- 20G. Capuano
- 11D. Seck
- 19Y. Gazzaoui
- 7S. Come Ruiz
- 17Djibril Sarr
- 29R. Silva
- 4R. Padovani
- 26V. Theresin
- 18M. Hamdi
- 28S. Mopila
- 16M. Silistrie
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 01:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caen have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Quevilly have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Rouen(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gobelins(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Amiens(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Versailles(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Caen win, 4 draws, 1 Quevilly win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Caen 0-0 Quevilly | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Quevilly 1-1 Caen | Ligue 3 |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Quevilly 1-2 Caen | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Caen 3-3 Quevilly | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Caen 2-2 Quevilly | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Quevilly 2-1 Caen | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caen score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Quevilly score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Quevilly | 0.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caen sit 7th in Ligue 3 (15 points from 9 matches) and Quevilly sit 13th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 15 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 10 |
A question about Caen vs Quevilly?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caen vs Quevilly?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caen the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Quevilly.
- Where and when is Caen vs Quevilly played?
- Caen vs Quevilly is played on January 16, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Michel d'Ornano, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.