Aubagne vs Villefranche: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 16Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade de Lattre de Tassigny, Aubagne
The Footlab AI model makes Aubagne the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Villefranche. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aubagne wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,502 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aubagne vs Villefranche?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Aubagne (1,738) and Villefranche (1,712).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aubagne vs Villefranche
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aubagne
4-1-4-1- 17J. Porsan-Clemente
- 18A. Oudjani
- 10K. Cissé
- 27J. Sahraoui
- 19B. Doukansy
- 24S. Ahamada
- 26M. Nehari
- 23Y. Aradj
- 5R. Doucouré
- 2Aymen Sadi
- 1I. Touré
Villefranche
3-2-4-1- 9L. Piquionne
- 27A. Diakité
- 7M. Louzif
- 13M. Cachbach
- 29L. Etoga
- 18R. Laspalles
- 10L. Yobé
- 4M. Tshibuabua
- 8M. Etuin
- 23D. Gassama
- 1S. Péan
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 07:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aubagne have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Villefranche have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Concarneau(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cannes(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Amiens(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Versailles(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | La Roche VF(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Aubagne wins, 0 draws, 2 Villefranche wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Villefranche 2-1 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Aubagne 3-1 Villefranche | Ligue 3 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Aubagne 1-2 Villefranche | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Villefranche 0-1 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Villefranche vs Aubagne on Jan 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aubagne score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Villefranche score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubagne | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Villefranche | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aubagne sit 16th in Ligue 3 (7 points from 10 matches) and Villefranche sit 17th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Aubagne | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
| 17 | Villefranche | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 7 |
A question about Aubagne vs Villefranche?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aubagne vs Villefranche?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aubagne the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Villefranche.
- Where and when is Aubagne vs Villefranche played?
- Aubagne vs Villefranche is played on January 16, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade de Lattre de Tassigny, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.