Caerau (Ely) vs Aberystwyth Town: result 1-0 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 14Kick-off on December 20, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Aberystwyth Town?
Caerau (Ely) won 1-0 on December 20, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 56′D. GriffithsCaerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Aberystwyth Town have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Llandudno(home) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Dolgellau Athletic(away) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Afan Lido(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Ynyshir Albions(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Newport City(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Aberystwyth Town score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.3 | 1.0 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Aberystwyth Town | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerau (Ely) sit 4th in FAW Championship (19 points from 10 matches) and Aberystwyth Town sit 3rd (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
A question about Caerau (Ely) vs Aberystwyth Town?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2025Trefelin2-0Carmarthen Town
- Nov 14, 2025Cambrian & Clydach1-1Ammanford AFC
- Nov 15, 2025Treowen Stars3-0Ynyshir Albions
- Nov 15, 2025Afan Lido2-2Pontypridd Town
- Dec 10, 2025Newport City2-1Cardiff Draconians
- Dec 20, 2025Trethomas Bluebirds2-1Baglan Dragons
- Mar 10, 2026Cwmbran Celtic1-3Llantwit Major