Caerau (Ely) vs Aberystwyth Town: result 1-0 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 14Kick-off on December 20, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Aberystwyth Town?
Caerau (Ely) won 1-0 on December 20, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 56′D. GriffithsCaerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Aberystwyth Town have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Llandudno(home) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Dolgellau Athletic(away) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Afan Lido(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Ynyshir Albions(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Newport City(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Aberystwyth Town score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.3 | 1.0 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Aberystwyth Town | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerau (Ely) sit 11th in FAW Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Aberystwyth Town sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aberystwyth Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Caerau (Ely) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2025Trefelin2-0Carmarthen Town
- Nov 14, 2025Cambrian & Clydach1-1Ammanford AFC
- Nov 15, 2025Treowen Stars3-0Ynyshir Albions
- Nov 15, 2025Afan Lido2-2Pontypridd Town
- Dec 10, 2025Newport City2-1Cardiff Draconians
- Dec 20, 2025Trethomas Bluebirds2-1Baglan Dragons
- Mar 10, 2026Cwmbran Celtic1-3Llantwit Major