Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons: result 3-0 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 9Kick-off on October 6, 2023 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons?
Caerau (Ely) won 3-0 on October 6, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 68′?Caerau (Ely) (pen.)
- 87′?Caerau (Ely)
- 90′?Caerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 5, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2023 | Llantwit Major(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Cardiff Corinthians(home) | 3-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Goytre United(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Briton Ferry(away) | 3-5 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2023 | Abertillery Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Taffs Well(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 16, 2023 | FC Cwmaman(home) | 5-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 8, 2023 | llanelli AFC(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 2.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 2.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.1 | 2.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 10/11 | 8/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerau (Ely) sit 4th in FAW Championship (19 points from 10 matches) and Baglan Dragons sit 5th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
A question about Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy