Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons: result 3-0 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 9Kick-off on October 6, 2023 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
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What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons?
Caerau (Ely) won 3-0 on October 6, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 68′?Caerau (Ely) (pen.)
- 87′?Caerau (Ely)
- 90′?Caerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 5, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2023 | Llantwit Major(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Cardiff Corinthians(home) | 3-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Goytre United(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Briton Ferry(away) | 3-5 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2023 | Abertillery Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Taffs Well(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 16, 2023 | FC Cwmaman(home) | 5-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 8, 2023 | llanelli AFC(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 2.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 2.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.1 | 2.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 10/11 | 8/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerau (Ely) sit 11th in FAW Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Baglan Dragons sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Caerau (Ely) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy