Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons: result 2-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 13Kick-off on November 1, 2024 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons?
Caerau (Ely) won 2-1 on November 1, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 85′?Caerau (Ely)
- 90′?Baglan Dragons
- 90′?Caerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2024 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Barry Town(away) | 3-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 11, 2024 | llanelli AFC(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Goytre United(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Taffs Well(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Afan Lido(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Penrhiwceiber Rangers(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Caerau (Ely) win, 0 draws, 1 Baglan Dragons win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 2-0 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Caerau (Ely) 3-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) on Jan 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 1.7 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerau (Ely) sit 4th in FAW Championship (19 points from 10 matches) and Baglan Dragons sit 5th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
A question about Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy