Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons: result 2-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 13Kick-off on November 1, 2024 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
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What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons?
Caerau (Ely) won 2-1 on November 1, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 85′?Caerau (Ely)
- 90′?Baglan Dragons
- 90′?Caerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2024 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Barry Town(away) | 3-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 11, 2024 | llanelli AFC(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Goytre United(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Taffs Well(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Afan Lido(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Penrhiwceiber Rangers(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Caerau (Ely) win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Baglan Dragons win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 2-0 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Caerau (Ely) 3-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) on Jan 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 1.7 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerau (Ely) sit 11th in FAW Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Baglan Dragons sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Caerau (Ely) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy