Caerau (Ely) vs Cardiff Draconians: result 2-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 18Kick-off on January 2, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Cardiff Draconians?
Caerau (Ely) won 2-1 on January 2, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 43′T. McLeanCaerau (Ely) (pen.)
- 81′598600Cardiff Draconians (pen.)
- 90′T. McLeanCaerau (Ely) (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Cardiff Draconians have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Trefelin(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Llandudno(home) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Dolgellau Athletic(away) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Llantwit Major(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Newport City(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Trefelin(away) | 3-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Treowen Stars(home) | 4-3 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 2-5 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Caerau (Ely) win, 0 draws, 0 Cardiff Draconians wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians 0-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Cardiff Draconians vs Caerau (Ely) on Aug 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 2.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff Draconians score 2.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.2 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Cardiff Draconians | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerau (Ely) sit 4th in FAW Championship (19 points from 10 matches) and Cardiff Draconians sit 13th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 9 |
A question about Caerau (Ely) vs Cardiff Draconians?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy