Caerau (Ely) vs Rogerstone: result 8-1 and analysis
Welsh Cup3rd RoundKick-off on November 16, 2024 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Rogerstone?
Caerau (Ely) won 8-1 on November 16, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 25′J. TurnerCaerau (Ely)
- 25′O. RedheadCaerau (Ely)
- 29′D. IngramCaerau (Ely)
- 38′T. McLeanCaerau (Ely) (pen.)
- 48′Liam BishopCaerau (Ely)
- 59′B. GriffithsCaerau (Ely)
- 67′503717Rogerstone
- 76′D. IngramCaerau (Ely)
- 89′H. SamsonCaerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Rogerstone have 2, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2024 | Trefelin(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Barry Town(away) | 3-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | Cardiff Bay Warriors(away) | 4-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Ynysygerwn(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rogerstone score 3.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Rogerstone | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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