Penydarren BGC vs Carmarthen Town: result 2-2 and analysis
Welsh Cup3rd RoundKick-off on November 16, 2024 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of Penydarren BGC vs Carmarthen Town?
Penydarren BGC and Carmarthen Town drew 2-2 on November 16, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 39′223848Penydarren BGC
- 45′N. DaleyCarmarthen Town (pen.)
- 73′R. BoothCarmarthen Town
- 84′223848Penydarren BGC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Penydarren BGC have 9 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Carmarthen Town have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2024 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Porthcawl Town Athletic(home) | 3-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 16, 2023 | South Gower(home) | 2-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Jan 25, 2023 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 2-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 11, 2022 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Penrhiwceiber Rangers(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Llantwit Major(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Penrhiwceiber Rangers(away) | 4-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Trefelin(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Penydarren BGC score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 14; Carmarthen Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penydarren BGC | 2.0 | 1.7 | 6 | 6/14 | 11/14 |
| Carmarthen Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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