Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions: result 1-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 2Kick-off on August 7, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions?
Caerau (Ely) and Ynyshir Albions drew 1-1 on August 7, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 54′L. BishopCaerau (Ely) (pen.)
- 79′635604Ynyshir Albions (pen.)
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Caerau (Ely) win at 78%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Ynyshir Albions have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 3-4 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Barnstaple Town(home) | 4-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Croesyceiliog AFC(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Caerau (Ely) wins, 0 draws, 0 Ynyshir Albions wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Caerau (Ely) 2-0 Ynyshir Albions | FAW Championship |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Ynyshir Albions 1-4 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 2.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ynyshir Albions score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.5 | 1.0 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Ynyshir Albions | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerau (Ely) sit 4th in FAW Championship (19 points from 10 matches) and Ynyshir Albions sit 6th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 16 |
A question about Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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