Caernarfon Town vs Carmarthen Town: result 3-1 and analysis
Premier League1st Phase - 21Kick-off on January 5, 2019 at 02:30 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
Full time
What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Carmarthen Town?
Caernarfon Town won 3-1 on January 5, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 26′L. ThomasCarmarthen Town (pen.)
- 44′Cai Llywelyn JonesCaernarfon Town
- 67′Nathan CraigCaernarfon Town
- 84′D. ThomasCaernarfon Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Carmarthen Town have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2019 | Llandudno(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 29, 2018 | Llandudno(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 22, 2018 | Barry Town(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 14, 2018 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 7, 2018 | Prestatyn Town(away) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2019 | llanelli AFC(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2018 | llanelli AFC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 22, 2018 | Newtown AFC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 14, 2018 | Barry Town(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Goytre United(away) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Caernarfon Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Carmarthen Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2018 | Carmarthen Town 4-3 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2016 | Caernarfon Town 3-1 Carmarthen Town | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Carmarthen Town vs Caernarfon Town on Nov 3, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Carmarthen Town score 1.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 1.7 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Carmarthen Town | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy