Caernarfon Town vs Holywell: prediction and stats
Welsh CupRound of 32Kick-off on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
The Footlab AI model makes Caernarfon Town the favourite at 90%, against 7% for a draw and 3% for Holywell. The most likely score is 4-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,614 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caernarfon Town vs Holywell?
Caernarfon Town starts as the favourite with a 289-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,642).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caernarfon Town vs Holywell
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caernarfon Town
4-3-3- 9Z. Clarke
- 10O. Evans
- 11A. Cieślewicz
- 6J. Canavan
- 14N. Edwards
- 19S. Bradley
- 16B. Nash
- 27R. Sears
- 23C. Marriott
- 4J. Piggott
- 1C. Roberts
Holywell
4-3-3- 27M. Yonsian
- 18Caio Hughes
- 19J. Sconce
- 34R. Edwards
- 16D. McGiveron
- 8T. Dogan
- 12Jack Tierney
- 6D. Sullivan
- 2Casey Bedford
- 3M. Davies
- 1A. Swindell
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 03:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Holywell have 0, 3 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llay Miners Welfare(away) | 3-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 1-6 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Caernarfon Town win, 1 draw, 0 Holywell wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Holywell 3-5 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Caernarfon Town 2-2 Holywell | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Holywell vs Caernarfon Town on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 2.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Holywell score 1.1 and concede 3.5. The model gives a 88% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 2.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Holywell | 1.1 | 3.5 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Caernarfon Town vs Holywell?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caernarfon Town vs Holywell?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caernarfon Town the favourite at 90%, against 7% for a draw and 3% for Holywell.
- Where and when is Caernarfon Town vs Holywell played?
- Caernarfon Town vs Holywell is played on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Oval, in the Welsh Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 88% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.