Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay: result 4-1 and analysis
Welsh CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on January 31, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
Full time
What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Caernarfon Town won 4-1 on January 31, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 38′I. LewisCaernarfon Town
- 46′S. BradleyCaernarfon Town
- 58′L. RoblesColwyn Bay
- 81′D. GossetCaernarfon Town
- 90′Z. ClarkeCaernarfon Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Colwyn Bay have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 13, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Bala Town(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Cardiff MET(away) | 4-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 13, 2026 | The New Saints(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Flint Town United(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Caernarfon Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Colwyn Bay win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Caernarfon Town 1-2 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Colwyn Bay 1-0 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Caernarfon Town 3-0 Colwyn Bay | League Cup |
| Dec 31, 2023 | Caernarfon Town 2-1 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Colwyn Bay 0-4 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay on Dec 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Colwyn Bay score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Colwyn Bay | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy