Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Ynys Park, Cwmafan
The Footlab AI model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Trefelin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colwyn Bay wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay?
Colwyn Bay starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,984 vs 1,797).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trefelin
4-3-3- 10T. Brock
- 11Lewys Ware
- 7K. Georgievsky
- 19J. Jones
- 20Bayan Aman
- 4L. Gerrard
- 26K. Owen
- 2M. Thomas
- 8J. Davies
- 35Osian Davies
- 1S. Coughlan
Colwyn Bay
4-3-3- 11J. Davies
- 9A. Davies
- 7J. Kenny
- 22D. Poole
- 8C. Bratley
- 16J. Williams
- 6S. Forde
- 4N. Peate
- 5L. Sirrell
- 3S. Hart
- 1M. Halstead
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trefelin have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Colwyn Bay have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Briton Ferry(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Briton Ferry(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 5-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Holywell(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Trefelin wins, 0 draws, 1 Colwyn Bay win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Colwyn Bay 2-0 Trefelin | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trefelin score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Colwyn Bay score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trefelin | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Colwyn Bay | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trefelin sit 15th in Premier League (6 points from 13 matches) and Colwyn Bay sit 5th (25 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 25 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 6 |
A question about Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Trefelin.
- Where and when is Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay played?
- Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay is played on November 6, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Ynys Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.