Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC: result 2-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueChampionship Round - 6Kick-off on March 15, 2024 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
Full time
What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Caernarfon Town won 2-1 on March 15, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 53′L. LloydCaernarfon Town
- 58′Marc Richard WilliamsCaernarfon Town
- 90′J. DaviesGAP Connah S Quay FC (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; GAP Connah S Quay FC have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024 | Bala Town(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Newtown AFC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 23, 2024 | The New Saints(home) | 1-8 | Premier League |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Cardiff MET(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Feb 2, 2024 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024 | The New Saints(home) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Bala Town(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Cardiff MET(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Buckley Town(away) | 4-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Newtown AFC(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Caernarfon Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 GAP Connah S Quay FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2024 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 1-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2023 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 6-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2023 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 4-1 Caernarfon Town | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Caernarfon Town 0-4 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Premier League |
| Nov 18, 2022 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 3-3 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Caernarfon Town 0-2 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town on Feb 2, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; GAP Connah S Quay FC score 2.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | 2.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caernarfon Town sit 6th in Premier League (9 points from 4 matches) and GAP Connah S Quay FC sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy