Caernarfon Town vs Penybont: result 1-2 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2025 at 04:15 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
Full time
What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?
Penybont won 1-2 on September 20, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 63′N. DaleyPenybont
- 78′N. DaleyPenybont
- 84′A. DaviesCaernarfon Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Penybont have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Briton Ferry(away) | 5-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Holywell(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Barry Town(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Bala Town(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Flint Town United(home) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Briton Ferry(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Bala Town(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2025 | llanelli AFC(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Caernarfon Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Penybont win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Penybont 3-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Caernarfon Town 3-2 Penybont | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Caernarfon Town 1-5 Penybont | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Penybont 2-0 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| May 18, 2024 | Caernarfon Town 3-1 Penybont | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Caernarfon Town 2-4 Penybont | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Penybont vs Caernarfon Town on Apr 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 3.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Penybont score 1.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 3.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Penybont | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caernarfon Town sit 6th in Premier League (9 points from 4 matches) and Penybont sit 3rd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy