Penybont vs Caernarfon Town: result 3-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueChampionship Round - 9Kick-off on April 13, 2025 at 01:30 PM (UTC)SDM Glass Stadium, Bridgend, Bridgend County Borough
Full time
What was the result of Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
Penybont won 3-1 on April 13, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 9′J. CrolePenybont
- 20′L. LloydCaernarfon Town (pen.)
- 75′C. GreenPenybont
- 90′J. CrolePenybont
Official lineup for Penybont vs Caernarfon Town
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Penybont
- KK. Reffell
- JJ. Crole
- LLewys Ware
- CC. Green
- OOwen Robert Pritchard
- KK. Owen
- MM. Davies
- BB. Borge
- KKai Ludvigsen
- GG. Kircough
- AA. Przybek
Caernarfon Town
- LL. Lloyd
- MM. Hill
- DD. Gosset
- PPaulo Mendes
- JJ. Faux
- JJ. Canavan
- BB. Hudson
- PP. Mooney
- MMorgan Rhys Wyn Owen
- MM. Jones
- BBen Hughes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penybont have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | The New Saints(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Cardiff MET(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Bala Town(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Bala Town(home) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 11, 2025 | The New Saints(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Cardiff MET(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Penybont(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Penybont wins, 0 draws, 2 Caernarfon Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Caernarfon Town 3-2 Penybont | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Caernarfon Town 1-5 Penybont | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Penybont 2-0 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| May 18, 2024 | Caernarfon Town 3-1 Penybont | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Caernarfon Town 2-4 Penybont | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Penybont 3-2 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Caernarfon Town vs Penybont on Feb 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Penybont score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 1.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penybont sit 3rd in Premier League (30 points from 13 matches) and Caernarfon Town sit 4th (26 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 26 |
A question about Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy