Penybont vs Caernarfon Town: result 3-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueChampionship Round - 9Kick-off on April 13, 2025 at 01:30 PM (UTC)SDM Glass Stadium, Bridgend, Bridgend County Borough
Full time
What was the result of Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
Penybont won 3-1 on April 13, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 9′J. CrolePenybont
- 20′L. LloydCaernarfon Town (pen.)
- 75′C. GreenPenybont
- 90′J. CrolePenybont
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penybont have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | The New Saints(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Cardiff MET(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Bala Town(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Bala Town(home) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 11, 2025 | The New Saints(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Cardiff MET(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Penybont(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Penybont win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Caernarfon Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Caernarfon Town 3-2 Penybont | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Caernarfon Town 1-5 Penybont | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Penybont 2-0 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| May 18, 2024 | Caernarfon Town 3-1 Penybont | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Caernarfon Town 2-4 Penybont | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Penybont 3-2 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Caernarfon Town vs Penybont on Feb 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Penybont score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 1.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penybont sit 3rd in Premier League (10 points from 4 matches) and Caernarfon Town sit 6th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy