Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints: result 1-3 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 7, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
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What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints?
The New Saints won 1-3 on October 7, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 39′R. BrobbelThe New Saints
- 43′D. DaviesThe New Saints
- 90′P. MooneyCaernarfon Town
- 90′R. HoldenThe New Saints
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; The New Saints have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Cardiff MET(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Penybont(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Briton Ferry(away) | 5-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Barry Town(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Bala Town(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Flint Town United(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Cardiff MET(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | llanelli AFC(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Caernarfon Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 The New Saints win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | The New Saints 2-0 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Caernarfon Town 0-1 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Caernarfon Town 2-5 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2024 | The New Saints 1-2 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2024 | The New Saints 7-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Caernarfon Town 1-8 The New Saints | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town on Mar 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; The New Saints score 2.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 2.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| The New Saints | 2.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caernarfon Town sit 6th in Premier League (9 points from 4 matches) and The New Saints sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | The New Saints | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy