Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints: result 1-3 and analysis
Premier LeagueMatchday 12Kick-off on October 7, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
Full time
What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints?
The New Saints won 1-3 on October 7, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 39′R. BrobbelThe New Saints
- 43′D. DaviesThe New Saints
- 90′P. MooneyCaernarfon Town
- 90′R. HoldenThe New Saints
Official lineup for Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Caernarfon Town
- 12O. Abadaki
- 21C. Evans
- 39O. Ellis
- 6I. Lewis
- 2Morgan Rhys Wyn Owen
- 3M. Jones
- 5P. Mooney
- 15D. Smith
- 24Kyle Harrison
- 27R. Sears
- 13H. Thomas
The New Saints
- 8R. Brobbel
- 9K. Charles
- 37Isaac Jefferies
- 4D. Corness
- 10D. Redmond
- 14D. Williams
- 18R. Holden
- 6J. Bodenham
- 16H. McGahey
- 22D. Davies
- 1N. Shepperd
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; The New Saints have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Cardiff MET(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Penybont(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Briton Ferry(away) | 5-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Barry Town(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Bala Town(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Flint Town United(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Cardiff MET(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | llanelli AFC(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Caernarfon Town win, 0 draws, 5 The New Saints wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | The New Saints 2-0 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Caernarfon Town 0-1 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Caernarfon Town 2-5 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2024 | The New Saints 1-2 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2024 | The New Saints 7-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Caernarfon Town 1-8 The New Saints | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town on Mar 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; The New Saints score 2.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 2.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| The New Saints | 2.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caernarfon Town sit 6th in Premier League (29 points from 16 matches) and The New Saints sit 1st (44 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 54 | 6 | 44 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 29 |
A question about Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy