The New Saints vs Trefelin: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Park Hall Stadium, Oswestry / Croesoswallt, Shropshire
The Footlab AI model makes The New Saints the favourite at 82%, against 12% for a draw and 6% for Trefelin. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win The New Saints vs Trefelin?
The New Saints is a heavy favourite: 2,192 Elo points against 1,799, a 393-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for The New Saints vs Trefelin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
The New Saints
4-3-3- 9Bradley Jamie Ethan Young
- 17J. Williams
- 28B. Wilson
- 20R. Hughes
- 14D. Williams
- 4D. Corness
- 6J. Bodenham
- 22D. Davies
- 16D. Simeu
- 23Z. Nolan
- 1N. Shepperd
Trefelin
4-3-3- 10T. Brock
- 11Lewys Ware
- 7K. Georgievsky
- 19J. Jones
- 20Bayan Aman
- 4L. Gerrard
- 26K. Owen
- 2M. Thomas
- 8J. Davies
- 35Osian Davies
- 1S. Coughlan
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, The New Saints have 14 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats; Trefelin have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Holywell(away) | 6-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 9-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Trefelin(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 4-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Briton Ferry(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 The New Saints win, 0 draws, 0 Trefelin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Trefelin 1-3 The New Saints | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Trefelin vs The New Saints on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
The New Saints score 3.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Trefelin score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The New Saints | 3.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Trefelin | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The New Saints sit 1st in Premier League (37 points from 13 matches) and Trefelin sit 15th (6 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 6 | 37 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 6 |
A question about The New Saints vs Trefelin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for The New Saints vs Trefelin?
- The Footlab AI model makes The New Saints the favourite at 82%, against 12% for a draw and 6% for Trefelin.
- Where and when is The New Saints vs Trefelin played?
- The New Saints vs Trefelin is played on November 20, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Park Hall Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.