Caersws vs Newtown AFC: result 2-3 and analysis
Welsh Cup4th RoundKick-off on February 10, 2015 at 07:30 PM (UTC)The Recreation Ground, Caersws, Powys
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What was the result of Caersws vs Newtown AFC?
Newtown AFC won 2-3 on February 10, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 32′S. BlenkinsopCaersws
- 35′Sean EvansNewtown AFC
- 49′J. OwenCaersws
- 72′L. BoundfordNewtown AFC
- 85′J. OswellNewtown AFC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Caersws have 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Newtown AFC have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2014 | Tiger Bay(away) | 4-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 8, 2014 | Llanberis(away) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Llandudno(home) | 1-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Mar 1, 2014 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 1-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Feb 1, 2014 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 4-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2015 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Jan 24, 2015 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 11, 2015 | Rhyl(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 5, 2015 | Bala Town(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2015 | Port Talbot Town(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Caersws score 2.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 10; Newtown AFC score 1.5 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caersws | 2.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/10 | 8/10 |
| Newtown AFC | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy