Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town: result 0-4 and analysis
Welsh Cup4th RoundKick-off on February 7, 2015 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town?
Carmarthen Town won 0-4 on February 7, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 92′S. WaltersCarmarthen Town
- 100′L. ThomasCarmarthen Town
- 102′K. BassettCarmarthen Town
- 104′L. ThomasCarmarthen Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 8 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Carmarthen Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2014 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 5-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 15, 2014 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 3, 2014 | Taffs Well(away) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 16, 2013 | Llandrindod Wells(away) | 5-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Cardiff Hibernian(home) | 4-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2015 | Bangor City(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Jan 28, 2015 | The New Saints(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jan 10, 2015 | Cefn Druids AFC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2015 | Rhyl(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2015 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 3-5 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 3.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 11; Carmarthen Town score 1.6 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 3.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/11 | 9/11 |
| Carmarthen Town | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
A question about Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy