Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town: result 0-4 and analysis
Welsh Cup4th RoundKick-off on February 7, 2015 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
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What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town?
Carmarthen Town won 0-4 on February 7, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 92′S. WaltersCarmarthen Town
- 100′L. ThomasCarmarthen Town
- 102′K. BassettCarmarthen Town
- 104′L. ThomasCarmarthen Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 8 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Carmarthen Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2014 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 5-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 15, 2014 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 3, 2014 | Taffs Well(away) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 16, 2013 | Llandrindod Wells(away) | 5-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Cardiff Hibernian(home) | 4-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2015 | Bangor City(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Jan 28, 2015 | The New Saints(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jan 10, 2015 | Cefn Druids AFC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2015 | Rhyl(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2015 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 3-5 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 3.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 11; Carmarthen Town score 1.6 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 3.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/11 | 9/11 |
| Carmarthen Town | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy