Caersws vs Rhyl: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Recreation Ground, Caersws, Powys
The Footlab AI model makes Caersws the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Rhyl. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caersws wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caersws vs Rhyl?
On Elo ratings, Caersws has 1,682 points and Rhyl 1,651.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caersws vs Rhyl
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caersws
Not enough data to predict the Caersws lineup.
Rhyl
4-3-3- 9J. Parry
- 11A. Jones
- AAaron Hassall
- 8B. Lightfoot
- 7M. Murray
- 2B. Lawrence
- 5Mohamud Ali Mohamed
- 3B. Holmes
- 5R. Fairhurst
- RReece Fairhurst
- 1A. Swindell
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caersws have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Rhyl have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Caersws wins, 0 draws, 4 Rhyl wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rhyl 4-2 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Caersws 1-0 Rhyl | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Rhyl 3-0 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Rhyl 2-1 Caersws | League Cup |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Caersws 7-4 Rhyl | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Rhyl 3-1 Caersws | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Caersws score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rhyl score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caersws | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Rhyl | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caersws sit 6th in FAW Championship (18 points from 10 matches) and Rhyl sit 11th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 18 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 11 |
A question about Caersws vs Rhyl?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caersws vs Rhyl?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caersws the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Rhyl.
- Where and when is Caersws vs Rhyl played?
- Caersws vs Rhyl is played on February 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Recreation Ground, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.