Mold Alexandra vs Denbigh Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Alyn Park, Mold, Flintshire
The Footlab model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Denbigh Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mold Alexandra vs Denbigh Town?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Mold Alexandra (1,627) and Denbigh Town (1,585).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mold Alexandra have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Denbigh Town have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Flint Mountain(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bangor 1876(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mold Alexandra win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Denbigh Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Mold Alexandra 2-1 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Denbigh Town 3-1 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Denbigh Town 1-1 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Mold Alexandra 2-1 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Mold Alexandra 2-0 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Denbigh Town 3-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Mold Alexandra vs Denbigh Town on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mold Alexandra score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Denbigh Town score 1.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mold Alexandra | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Denbigh Town | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mold Alexandra sit 6th in FAW Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Denbigh Town sit 12th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mold Alexandra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mold Alexandra vs Denbigh Town?
- The Footlab model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Denbigh Town.
- Where and when is Mold Alexandra vs Denbigh Town played?
- Mold Alexandra vs Denbigh Town is played on February 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Alyn Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.