Holyhead Hotspur vs Ruthin Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The New Oval, Holyhead, Isle of Anglesey
The Footlab model makes Holyhead Hotspur the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Ruthin Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holyhead Hotspur vs Ruthin Town?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Holyhead Hotspur (1,530) and Ruthin Town (1,499).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holyhead Hotspur have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ruthin Town have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bangor 1876(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Holyhead Hotspur win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Ruthin Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ruthin Town 1-2 Holyhead Hotspur | FAW Championship |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Ruthin Town 0-1 Holyhead Hotspur | FAW Championship |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Holyhead Hotspur 1-3 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Holyhead Hotspur 1-2 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Ruthin Town 2-0 Holyhead Hotspur | FAW Championship |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Ruthin Town 5-0 Holyhead Hotspur | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ruthin Town vs Holyhead Hotspur on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Holyhead Hotspur score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ruthin Town score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holyhead Hotspur | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ruthin Town | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holyhead Hotspur sit 13th in FAW Championship (3 points from 4 matches) and Ruthin Town sit 9th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ruthin Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Holyhead Hotspur | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holyhead Hotspur vs Ruthin Town?
- The Footlab model makes Holyhead Hotspur the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Ruthin Town.
- Where and when is Holyhead Hotspur vs Ruthin Town played?
- Holyhead Hotspur vs Ruthin Town is played on February 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The New Oval, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.