Calasancio vs Agoncillo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Estrella, Logroño
The Footlab AI model makes Agoncillo the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Calasancio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Agoncillo wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,834 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calasancio vs Agoncillo?
Agoncillo starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,747 vs 1,551).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Calasancio vs Agoncillo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Calasancio
4-3-3- EEduardo García Ballesteros
- DDiego Saez Salinas
- MMarcos Medrano Bodega
- DDavid Lozano
- DDavid Sacristan Moreno
- FFidel GarcÃa
- IIbrahima Korca Ba
- SS. Londoño
- ÁÁlvaro Huerta
- RRaúl Fernández Tamayo
- IIván López Villar
Agoncillo
Not enough data to predict the Agoncillo lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 09:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calasancio have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Agoncillo have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Varea(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vianés(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Casalarreina(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Calahorra(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Anguiano(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Comillas(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Varea(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vianés(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Casalarreina(away) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Calahorra(home) | 3-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Calasancio win, 1 draw, 0 Agoncillo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2021 | Calasancio 1-1 Agoncillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 1, 2021 | Agoncillo 0-1 Calasancio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
Last archived meeting: Calasancio vs Agoncillo on Jun 6, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Calasancio score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Agoncillo score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calasancio | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Agoncillo | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Calasancio sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (5 points from 6 matches) and Agoncillo sit 9th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Agoncillo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | Calasancio | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 5 |
A question about Calasancio vs Agoncillo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calasancio vs Agoncillo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Agoncillo the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Calasancio.
- Where and when is Calasancio vs Agoncillo played?
- Calasancio vs Agoncillo is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Estrella, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.