Calcio Avola vs Igea Virtus: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Calcio Avola the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Igea Virtus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Calcio Avola wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calcio Avola vs Igea Virtus?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Calcio Avola (1,726) and Igea Virtus (1,781).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Calcio Avola vs Igea Virtus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Calcio Avola
Not enough data to predict the Calcio Avola lineup.
Igea Virtus
Not enough data to predict the Igea Virtus lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Calcio Avola have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Igea Virtus have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sambiase(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Enna(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Modica(home) | 0-4 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ragusa(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CastrumFavara(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ragusa(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CastrumFavara(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Reggina(home) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nissa(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Reggina(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Calcio Avola wins, 0 draws, 1 Igea Virtus win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Igea Virtus 4-2 Calcio Avola | Serie D - Girone I |
Last archived meeting: Igea Virtus vs Calcio Avola on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Calcio Avola score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 9; Igea Virtus score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calcio Avola | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 3/9 | 4/9 |
| Igea Virtus | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Calcio Avola sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone I (16 points from 8 matches) and Igea Virtus sit 5th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Calcio Avola | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 16 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Calcio Avola vs Igea Virtus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calcio Avola vs Igea Virtus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Calcio Avola the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Igea Virtus.
- Where and when is Calcio Avola vs Igea Virtus played?
- Calcio Avola vs Igea Virtus is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.