Modica vs Ragusa: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Modica the favourite at 56%, against 29% for a draw and 15% for Ragusa. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,398 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Modica vs Ragusa?
On Elo ratings, Modica has 1,654 points and Ragusa 1,564.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Modica vs Ragusa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Modica
Not enough data to predict the Modica lineup.
Ragusa
Not enough data to predict the Ragusa lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Modica have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Ragusa have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Calcio Avola(away) | 4-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Enna(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Siracusa(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CastrumFavara(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nissa(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Calcio Avola(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Trapani 1905(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Licata(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Modica wins, 1 draw, 0 Ragusa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ragusa 2-2 Modica | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Modica score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 8; Ragusa score 0.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modica | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 2/8 | 4/8 |
| Ragusa | 0.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Modica sit 13th in Serie D - Girone I (7 points from 7 matches) and Ragusa sit 16th (3 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 16 | Ragusa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
A question about Modica vs Ragusa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Modica vs Ragusa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Modica the favourite at 56%, against 29% for a draw and 15% for Ragusa.
- Where and when is Modica vs Ragusa played?
- Modica vs Ragusa is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.