Gela vs Sambiase: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Vincenzo Presti, Gela
The Footlab AI model makes Sambiase the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Gela. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sambiase wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,785 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gela vs Sambiase?
Sambiase starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,788 vs 1,660).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gela vs Sambiase
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gela
Not enough data to predict the Gela lineup.
Sambiase
Not enough data to predict the Sambiase lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gela have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Sambiase have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vibonese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Milazzo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Enna(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Calcio Avola(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trapani 1905(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Licata(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Milazzo(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Gela wins, 0 draws, 3 Sambiase wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sambiase 2-1 Gela | Serie D - Girone I |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Sambiase 2-1 Gela | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Gela 0-3 Sambiase | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Gela score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sambiase score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gela | 0.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Sambiase | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gela sit 15th in Serie D - Girone I (6 points from 8 matches) and Sambiase sit 2nd (17 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sambiase | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 15 | Gela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
A question about Gela vs Sambiase?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gela vs Sambiase?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sambiase the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Gela.
- Where and when is Gela vs Sambiase played?
- Gela vs Sambiase is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vincenzo Presti, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.