Where and when is Caldiero Terme vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo played?

Caldiero Terme vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, in the Serie D - Girone B.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Caldiero Terme vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, Caldiero

Caldiero Terme

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Caldiero Terme vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Caldiero Terme (1,708) and Virtus Ciserano Bergamo (1,691).

Caldiero Terme win43 %

Draw28 %

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caldiero Terme have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Caldiero Terme
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Varesina(home)	2-2	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026	Vogherese(away)	6-0	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026	Villa Valle(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026	Sondrio(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026	Brusaporto(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone B

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Castellanzese(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026	Pavia(away)	0-3	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026	Vogherese(home)	6-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026	Villa Valle(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026	Varesina(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Caldiero Terme win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 1, 2026	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1-1 Caldiero Terme	Serie D - Girone B
Sep 28, 2025	Caldiero Terme 1-1 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 28, 2024	Caldiero Terme 3-2 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo	Serie D - Girone B
Dec 16, 2023	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1-2 Caldiero Terme	Serie D - Girone B
Jan 5, 2022	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 3-3 Caldiero Terme	Coppa Italia Serie D

Last archived meeting: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Ciserano Bergamo score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Caldiero Terme	1.8	1.5	2	11/15	9/15
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo	0.9	1.1	4	7/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Caldiero Terme sit 11th in Serie D - Girone B (45 points from 34 matches) and Virtus Ciserano Bergamo sit 10th (46 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo	34	11	13	10	33	31	46
11	Caldiero Terme	34	10	15	9	50	40	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Caldiero Terme vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?: The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo.
Where and when is Caldiero Terme vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo played?: Caldiero Terme vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.