Fiorenzuola vs Leon Monza e Brianza: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Fiorenzuola d'Arda
The Footlab model makes Leon Monza e Brianza the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Fiorenzuola. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fiorenzuola vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
Leon Monza e Brianza starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,712 vs 1,548).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fiorenzuola have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Leon Monza e Brianza have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brusaporto(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 4, 2025 | Prato(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Tuttocuoio(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Lentigione(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Ravenna(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chievo(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Fiorenzuola score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leon Monza e Brianza score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorenzuola | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Leon Monza e Brianza | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leon Monza e Brianza | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fiorenzuola vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
- The Footlab model makes Leon Monza e Brianza the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Fiorenzuola.
- Where and when is Fiorenzuola vs Leon Monza e Brianza played?
- Fiorenzuola vs Leon Monza e Brianza is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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