Villa Valle vs Pavonese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, Villa D'Almè
The Footlab AI model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Pavonese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villa Valle wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villa Valle vs Pavonese?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Villa Valle (1,682) and Pavonese (1,668).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villa Valle vs Pavonese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villa Valle
Not enough data to predict the Villa Valle lineup.
Pavonese
Not enough data to predict the Pavonese lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Valle have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Pavonese have 2, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Calepina(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Tritium(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fiorenzuola(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Milan II(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Virtus Verona(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tritium(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Club Milano(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Villa Valle score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pavonese score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Valle | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Pavonese | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villa Valle sit 6th in Serie D - Girone B (10 points from 7 matches) and Pavonese sit 15th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Villa Valle | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 15 | Pavonese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Villa Valle vs Pavonese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villa Valle vs Pavonese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Pavonese.
- Where and when is Villa Valle vs Pavonese played?
- Villa Valle vs Pavonese is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 11, 2027PiacenzavsClub Milano
- Apr 11, 2027BrusaportovsChievo
- Apr 11, 2027ScanzorosciatevsTritium
- Apr 11, 2027Caldiero TermevsVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
- Apr 11, 2027FiorenzuolavsLeon Monza e Brianza
- Apr 11, 2027Real CalepinavsMilan II
- Apr 11, 2027Pro PalazzolovsVirtus Verona
- Apr 11, 2027Nibbiano & ValtidonevsRovato Vertovese