Camacha vs Ovarense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 10Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complexo Desportivo da Camacha, Camacha (Ilha da Madeira)
The Footlab AI model makes Camacha the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Ovarense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Camacha wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,075 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Camacha vs Ovarense?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Camacha (1,843) and Ovarense (1,836).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Camacha vs Ovarense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Camacha
Not enough data to predict the Camacha lineup.
Ovarense
Not enough data to predict the Ovarense lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 08:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Camacha have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ovarense have 5, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | União Lamas(away) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Florgrade(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Guarda(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Florgrade(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Machico(away) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Beira-Mar(home) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Os Marialvas(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sousense(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 23, 2026 | União Lamas(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Castro Daire(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Camacha score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ovarense score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camacha | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Ovarense | 2.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 5/9 | 4/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Camacha sit 3rd in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (8 points from 4 matches) and Ovarense sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ovarense | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 3 | Camacha | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
A question about Camacha vs Ovarense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Camacha vs Ovarense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Camacha the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Ovarense.
- Where and when is Camacha vs Ovarense played?
- Camacha vs Ovarense is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complexo Desportivo da Camacha, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.