Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21: prediction and stats
U21 Divisie 1Fall Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes De Graafschap U21 the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Groningen U21. The most likely score is 1-1. If De Graafschap U21 wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Groningen U21 (1,789) and De Graafschap U21 (1,795).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Groningen U21
Not enough data to predict the Groningen U21 lineup.
De Graafschap U21
Not enough data to predict the De Graafschap U21 lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Groningen U21 have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; De Graafschap U21 have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Willem II U21(away) | 0-0 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Feyenoord U21(home) | 1-4 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Go Ahead Eagles U21(away) | 2-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | PEC Zwolle U21(home) | 0-3 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Twente / Heracles U21(home) | 4-0 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Go Ahead Eagles U21(home) | 0-1 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Twente / Heracles U21(home) | 0-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Willem II U21(away) | 2-0 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cambuur U21(home) | 1-0 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | PEC Zwolle U21(away) | 3-1 | U21 Divisie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Groningen U21 wins, 1 draw, 1 De Graafschap U21 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | De Graafschap U21 1-2 Groningen U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Groningen U21 3-1 De Graafschap U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | De Graafschap U21 2-1 Groningen U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Groningen U21 1-0 De Graafschap U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | De Graafschap U21 2-3 Groningen U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Groningen U21 1-1 De Graafschap U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
Last archived meeting: De Graafschap U21 vs Groningen U21 on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Groningen U21 score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; De Graafschap U21 score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen U21 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| De Graafschap U21 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Groningen U21 sit 5th in U21 Divisie 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and De Graafschap U21 sit 3rd (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | De Graafschap U21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Groningen U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21?
- The Footlab AI model makes De Graafschap U21 the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Groningen U21.
- Where and when is Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21 played?
- Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21 is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the U21 Divisie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.