Cambuur U21 vs Willem II U21: prediction and stats
U21 Divisie 1Fall Season - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Cambuur Stadion, Leeuwarden
The Footlab model makes Cambuur U21 the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Willem II U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cambuur U21 vs Willem II U21?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Cambuur U21 (1,732) and Willem II U21 (1,700).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cambuur U21 have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Willem II U21 have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | ADO Den Haag II(away) | 3-5 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | De Graafschap U21(home) | 2-3 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Twente / Heracles U21(away) | 2-4 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Sittard U21(home) | 5-0 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Groningen U21(away) | 1-3 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Twente / Heracles U21(home) | 3-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Feyenoord U21(away) | 2-4 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | De Graafschap U21(home) | 2-1 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | ADO Den Haag II(away) | 1-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sittard U21(away) | 4-1 | U21 Divisie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Cambuur U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Willem II U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Willem II U21 4-4 Cambuur U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Cambuur U21 1-2 Willem II U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Willem II U21 3-1 Cambuur U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Cambuur U21 3-1 Willem II U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
Last archived meeting: Willem II U21 vs Cambuur U21 on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cambuur U21 score 2.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Willem II U21 score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur U21 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Willem II U21 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cambuur U21 sit 3rd in U21 Divisie 1 (22 points from 14 matches) and Willem II U21 sit 2nd (26 points from 14 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Willem II U21 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 24 | 26 |
| 3 | Cambuur U21 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cambuur U21 vs Willem II U21?
- The Footlab model makes Cambuur U21 the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Willem II U21.
- Where and when is Cambuur U21 vs Willem II U21 played?
- Cambuur U21 vs Willem II U21 is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Cambuur Stadion, in the U21 Divisie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.