Estanciano vs Barra SE: prediction and stats
Sergipano - 2Regular Season - 5Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Augusto Franco, Estância, Sergipe
The Footlab AI model makes Estanciano the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Barra SE. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estanciano wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estanciano vs Barra SE?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Estanciano (1,411) and Barra SE (1,444).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estanciano vs Barra SE
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estanciano
4-3-3- GGeorge
- LLuis Amado
- EElton
- ÍÍtalo Mário
- VValdir
- DDiego Douglas
- BBruno Alves
- RRenan
- VValber
- JJúnior Santos
- DDiogo
Barra SE
4-3-3- RRonaldo
- HHelber
- AAnderson Barbosa
- JJosivan
- CClemilson
- AAndrey
- ÍÍndio
- RRony
- GGabriel Cardoso
- JJonathan Bruce
- MMário Guilherme
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 06:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estanciano have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Barra SE have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Maruinense(home) | 1-0 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Independente Simão Dias(away) | 1-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Sete de Junho(home) | 1-2 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Botafogo ASF(away) | 2-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Frei Paulistano(home) | 1-4 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Frei Paulistano(away) | 0-5 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Socorro Sport(home) | 0-0 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AO Itabaiana(away) | 2-4 | Sergipano |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Dorense(home) | 0-2 | Sergipano |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Confiança(away) | 1-8 | Sergipano |
How many goals should we expect?
Estanciano score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Barra SE score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estanciano | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Barra SE | 0.9 | 2.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Estanciano vs Barra SE?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estanciano vs Barra SE?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estanciano the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Barra SE.
- Where and when is Estanciano vs Barra SE played?
- Estanciano vs Barra SE is played on November 11, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Governador Augusto Franco, in the Sergipano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.