Mutilvera vs Cantolagua: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Valle de Aranguren, Mutilva Baja
The Footlab AI model makes Mutilvera the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Cantolagua. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mutilvera vs Cantolagua?
Mutilvera starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,801 vs 1,580).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mutilvera vs Cantolagua
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mutilvera
Not enough data to predict the Mutilvera lineup.
Cantolagua
4-3-3- FFermin Guallar
- DDani Navarrete
- JJavi Ayesa
- AAitor Macho
- XXabier Ormaechea
- AAnder Blanco
- JJulen Úriz
- IIker Pérez
- JJulián García
- IIñigo Amores
- AAlejandro Garrido
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mutilvera have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Cantolagua have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Juan(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cirbonero(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Valle Egüés(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cirbonero(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Huarte(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Mutilvera wins, 0 draws, 0 Cantolagua wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Mutilvera 4-0 Cantolagua | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Cantolagua 0-1 Mutilvera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Mutilvera vs Cantolagua on Feb 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mutilvera score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cantolagua score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mutilvera | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Cantolagua | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mutilvera sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (14 points from 6 matches) and Cantolagua sit 18th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mutilvera | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
| 18 | Cantolagua | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 3 |
A question about Mutilvera vs Cantolagua?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mutilvera vs Cantolagua?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mutilvera the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Cantolagua.
- Where and when is Mutilvera vs Cantolagua played?
- Mutilvera vs Cantolagua is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Valle de Aranguren, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.