Canuelas vs Lugano: result 3-1 and analysis
Primera CPromotion Play-offs - 1st RoundKick-off on October 4, 2025 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Jorge Alfredo Arín, Cañuelas, Provincia de Buenos Aires
Full time
What was the result of Canuelas vs Lugano?
Canuelas won 3-1 on October 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 11′J. HeidenreichCanuelas
- 26′545594Lugano (pen.)
- 40′J. HeidenreichCanuelas
- 85′577690Canuelas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Canuelas have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Lugano have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Lugano(away) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Argentino Rosario(home) | 4-0 | Primera C |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Deportivo Camioneros(away) | 1-4 | Primera C |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Yupanqui(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Juventud Unida(away) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Canuelas(home) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Sep 16, 2025 | JJ Urquiza(home) | 2-2 | Primera C |
| Sep 5, 2025 | El Porvenir(away) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Defensores de Cambaceres(home) | 2-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Leandro N. Alem(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Canuelas wins, 2 draws, 1 Lugano win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Lugano 0-2 Canuelas | Primera C |
| Oct 8, 2014 | Canuelas 5-0 Lugano | Primera D |
| Aug 20, 2014 | Lugano 2-2 Canuelas | Primera D |
| Dec 14, 2013 | Lugano 1-2 Canuelas | Primera D |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Canuelas 0-0 Lugano | Primera D |
| Aug 21, 2012 | Lugano 2-1 Canuelas | Primera D |
How many goals should we expect?
Canuelas score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lugano score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canuelas | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Lugano | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Canuelas sit 2nd in Primera C (61 points from 32 matches) and Lugano sit 7th (46 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CanuelasGroup B | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 22 | 61 |
| 7 | LuganoGroup A | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 46 |
A question about Canuelas vs Lugano?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2025Argentino Rosario2-0Leandro N. Alem
- Sep 26, 2025Deportivo Paraguayo0-0Mercedes
- Sep 27, 2025El Porvenir1-1Lujan
- Sep 27, 2025Lugano0-2Canuelas
- Sep 28, 2025General Lamadrid2-0Berazategui
- Sep 28, 2025Defensores de Cambaceres1-1Atletico Atlas
- Sep 28, 2025Yupanqui2-1Deportivo Muñiz
- Sep 28, 2025Juventud Unida1-2Central Cordoba