Capital Brasilia vs Gama: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 6Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Juscelino Kubitschek, Paranoá, Distrito Federal
The Footlab AI model makes Gama the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Capital Brasilia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gama wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,777 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Capital Brasilia vs Gama?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Capital Brasilia (1,682) and Gama (1,731).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Capital Brasilia vs Gama
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Capital Brasilia
Not enough data to predict the Capital Brasilia lineup.
Gama
Not enough data to predict the Gama lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Capital Brasilia have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Gama have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Aparecidense(home) | 4-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Aparecidense(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 7, 2026 | União Rondonópolis(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| May 30, 2026 | CEOV Operário(away) | 5-1 | Serie D |
| May 23, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | ASA(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | ASA(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sao Jose(home) | 4-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sao Jose(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | America-RN(home) | 3-2 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Capital Brasilia wins, 4 draws, 0 Gama wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Capital Brasilia 1-1 Gama | Brasiliense |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Capital Brasilia 1-1 Gama | Brasiliense |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Gama 0-0 Capital Brasilia | Brasiliense |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Capital Brasilia 1-0 Gama | Brasiliense |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Capital Brasilia 0-0 Gama | Brasiliense |
| Mar 30, 2022 | Capital Brasilia 3-1 Gama | Brasiliense |
Last archived meeting: Capital Brasilia vs Gama on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Capital Brasilia score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gama score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Brasilia | 1.5 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Gama | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Capital Brasilia sit 5th in Brasiliense (15 points from 9 matches) and Gama sit 1st (23 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gama | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Capital Brasilia | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 15 |
A question about Capital Brasilia vs Gama?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Capital Brasilia vs Gama?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gama the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Capital Brasilia.
- Where and when is Capital Brasilia vs Gama played?
- Capital Brasilia vs Gama is played on February 6, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Juscelino Kubitschek, in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.