Real FC vs Samambaia: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 6Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Vasco Viana de Andrade, Núcleo Bandeirante, Distrito Federal
The Footlab AI model makes Samambaia the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Real FC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Samambaia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,703 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real FC vs Samambaia?
Samambaia starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,530 vs 1,427).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real FC vs Samambaia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real FC
4-3-3- MMatheus Alemão
- EEmanuel Baitler
- GGuilherme Costa Macedo
- MMatheus Dias
- JJuan Alves
- RRaphael
- GGabriel Lima
- CCaio Mendes
- FFelipe Mendes
- DDavi Silva
- LLeonardo Lovo Teles
Samambaia
Not enough data to predict the Samambaia lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real FC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Samambaia have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | ARUC(away) | 4-1 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Brasília(away) | 2-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 0-3 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Paranoá(home) | 4-5 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Ceilândia(away) | 0-2 | Brasiliense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Paranoá(away) | 6-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 12, 2026 | ARUC(away) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Real FC win, 1 draw, 2 Samambaia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Real FC 0-1 Samambaia | Brasiliense |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Real FC 1-1 Samambaia | Brasiliense |
| Feb 5, 2024 | Samambaia 3-0 Real FC | Brasiliense |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Real FC 2-0 Samambaia | Brasiliense |
How many goals should we expect?
Real FC score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Samambaia score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real FC | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Samambaia | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real FC sit 7th in Brasiliense (10 points from 9 matches) and Samambaia sit 2nd (20 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Samambaia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Real FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 10 |
A question about Real FC vs Samambaia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real FC vs Samambaia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Samambaia the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Real FC.
- Where and when is Real FC vs Samambaia played?
- Real FC vs Samambaia is played on February 6, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Vasco Viana de Andrade, in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.