Paranoá vs Ceilândia: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 6Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Juscelino Kubitschek, Paranoá, Distrito Federal
The Footlab AI model makes Ceilândia the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Paranoá. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ceilândia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,703 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paranoá vs Ceilândia?
Ceilândia starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,595 vs 1,436).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paranoá vs Ceilândia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paranoá
Not enough data to predict the Paranoá lineup.
Ceilândia
Not enough data to predict the Ceilândia lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paranoá have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Ceilândia have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Samambaia(home) | 0-6 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Ceilândia(away) | 1-4 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Brasiliense(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Real FC(away) | 5-4 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Gama(away) | 1-4 | Brasiliense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Luverdense(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Luverdense(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Mixto(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 30, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 23, 2026 | União Rondonópolis(away) | 3-2 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Paranoá wins, 1 draw, 5 Ceilândia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Ceilândia 4-1 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Paranoá 1-2 Ceilândia | Brasiliense |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Ceilândia 1-1 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Ceilândia 3-0 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Ceilândia 5-0 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Ceilândia 3-0 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
How many goals should we expect?
Paranoá score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ceilândia score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paranoá | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Ceilândia | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paranoá sit 8th in Brasiliense (6 points from 9 matches) and Ceilândia sit 4th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ceilândia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 16 |
| 8 | Paranoá | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 6 |
A question about Paranoá vs Ceilândia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paranoá vs Ceilândia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ceilândia the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Paranoá.
- Where and when is Paranoá vs Ceilândia played?
- Paranoá vs Ceilândia is played on February 6, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Juscelino Kubitschek, in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.