Cardiff vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 25, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cardiff City Stadium, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Cardiff vs Derby?
Cardiff won 2-1 on January 25, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 62′C. RobinsonCardiff
- 64′A. El GhaziCardiff
- 70′L. SalvesenDerby
Official lineup for Cardiff vs Derby
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Cardiff
4-2-3-1- 47C. Robinson
- 16C. Willock
- 18A. Robertson
- 45Cian Ashford
- 8J. Ralls
- 12C. Chambers
- 38P. Ng
- 5J. Daland
- 4D. Goutas
- 35A. Rinomhota
- 21J. Alnwick
Derby
4-4-2- 10J. Yates
- 15L. Salvesen
- 17K. Goudmijn
- 8B. Osborn
- 32E. Adams
- 27C. Blackett-Taylor
- 20C. Elder
- 6E. Cashin
- 3C. Forsyth
- 24R. Nyambe
- 1J. Widell Zetterström
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | Millwall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Swansea(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Watford(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Jan 9, 2025 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Middlesbrough(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | Sunderland(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Watford(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Leyton Orient(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Bristol City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 2-4 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cardiff wins, 1 draw, 1 Derby win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2024 | Derby 1-0 Cardiff | Championship |
| May 7, 2022 | Derby 0-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Mar 1, 2022 | Cardiff 1-0 Derby | Championship |
| Mar 2, 2021 | Cardiff 4-0 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 28, 2020 | Derby 1-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Jul 14, 2020 | Cardiff 2-1 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 0.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Derby | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardiff sit 18th in Championship (10 points from 10 matches) and Derby sit 23rd (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Cardiff vs Derby?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy