Cardiff vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 25, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cardiff City Stadium, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Cardiff vs Derby?
Cardiff won 2-1 on January 25, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 62′C. RobinsonCardiff
- 64′A. El GhaziCardiff
- 70′L. SalvesenDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | Millwall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Swansea(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Watford(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Jan 9, 2025 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Middlesbrough(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | Sunderland(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Watford(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Leyton Orient(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Bristol City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 2-4 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cardiff win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2024 | Derby 1-0 Cardiff | Championship |
| May 7, 2022 | Derby 0-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Mar 1, 2022 | Cardiff 1-0 Derby | Championship |
| Mar 2, 2021 | Cardiff 4-0 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 28, 2020 | Derby 1-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Jul 14, 2020 | Cardiff 2-1 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 0.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Derby | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Derby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy