Cardiff vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 44Kick-off on July 14, 2020 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Cardiff City Stadium, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Cardiff vs Derby?
Cardiff won 2-1 on July 14, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 17′J. HoilettCardiff
- 30′J. KnightDerby
- 59′Lee TomlinCardiff
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Derby have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2020 | Fulham(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jul 7, 2020 | Blackburn(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Jul 4, 2020 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jun 30, 2020 | Charlton(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Jun 27, 2020 | Preston(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2020 | Brentford(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Jul 8, 2020 | West Brom(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jul 4, 2020 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Jul 1, 2020 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jun 27, 2020 | Reading(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cardiff win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2019 | Derby 1-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Apr 24, 2018 | Derby 3-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2017 | Cardiff 0-0 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2017 | Derby 3-4 Cardiff | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2016 | Cardiff 0-2 Derby | Championship |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Cardiff 2-1 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.7 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 1.6 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Derby | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardiff sit 12th in Championship (2 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cardiff | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy