Carlisle vs AFC Hornchurch: result 4-1 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs AFC Hornchurch?
Carlisle won 4-1 on August 22, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 29′M. AzeezCarlisle
- 46′H. BunkerCarlisle
- 51′J. KizziAFC Hornchurch
- 66′H. BunkerCarlisle
- 75′R. LinneyCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; AFC Hornchurch have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Worthing(home) | 2-3 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Derby County U21(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barrow(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Coventry City U21(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Enfield Town(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Hornchurch score 2.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| AFC Hornchurch | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carlisle sit 12th in National League (4 points from 3 matches) and AFC Hornchurch sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | AFC Hornchurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | Carlisle | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy