Carlisle vs Bury: result 2-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 29, 2012 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
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What was the result of Carlisle vs Bury?
Carlisle won 2-1 on December 29, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 2′Lee Adamson MillerCarlisle (pen.)
- 10′M. RobsonCarlisle
- 53′Steven SchumacherBury
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Bury have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2012 | Hartlepool(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Dec 15, 2012 | Shrewsbury(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Dec 8, 2012 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Dec 1, 2012 | Bournemouth(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Yeovil Town(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2012 | Preston(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Dec 21, 2012 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Dec 18, 2012 | Preston(home) | 3-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Dec 15, 2012 | Crewe(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Dec 11, 2012 | Southend(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Carlisle win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bury win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2012 | Bury 1-1 Carlisle | League One |
| Mar 10, 2012 | Carlisle 4-1 Bury | League One |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Bury 0-2 Carlisle | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Bury | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy