Carlisle vs Bury: result 2-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 29, 2012 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Bury?
Carlisle won 2-1 on December 29, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 2′Lee Adamson MillerCarlisle (pen.)
- 10′M. RobsonCarlisle
- 53′Steven SchumacherBury
Official lineup for Carlisle vs Bury
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Carlisle
- 14Lee Adamson Miller
- 4Jon-Paul McGovern
- 8L. Noble
- 15Mike Edwards
- 16B. Potts
- 21James Trevor Berrett
- 2F. Simek
- 3M. Robson
- 5Daniel Richard Livesey
- 24C. Chantler
- 20M. Gillespie
Bury
- 19T. Hewitt
- 28T. Hopper
- 7D. Worrall
- 8Steven Schumacher
- 32Zac Thompson
- 36G. Wylde
- 3Joe Skarz
- 16Efetobore Sodje
- 17Mark Anthony Hughes
- 31M. Doherty
- 1T. Carson
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Bury have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2012 | Hartlepool(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Dec 15, 2012 | Shrewsbury(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Dec 8, 2012 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Dec 1, 2012 | Bournemouth(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Yeovil Town(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2012 | Preston(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Dec 21, 2012 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Dec 18, 2012 | Preston(home) | 3-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Dec 15, 2012 | Crewe(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Dec 11, 2012 | Southend(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Carlisle wins, 1 draw, 0 Bury wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2012 | Bury 1-1 Carlisle | League One |
| Mar 10, 2012 | Carlisle 4-1 Bury | League One |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Bury 0-2 Carlisle | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Bury | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Carlisle vs Bury?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy