Carlisle vs Cardiff: result 3-4 and analysis
FA Cup3rd Round ReplaysKick-off on January 15, 2020 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Cardiff?
Cardiff won 3-4 on January 15, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 7′N. ThomasCarlisle
- 18′A. FlintCardiff
- 45′J. MurphyCardiff
- 48′A. FlintCardiff
- 51′H. McKirdyCarlisle
- 57′D. WardCardiff
- 64′H. McKirdyCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Cardiff have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2020 | Plymouth(home) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Jan 4, 2020 | Cardiff(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2020 | Crewe(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2019 | Walsall(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Bradford(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2020 | Swansea(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Jan 4, 2020 | Carlisle(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2020 | QPR(away) | 1-6 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2019 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Millwall(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Carlisle win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Cardiff win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | Cardiff 2-2 Carlisle | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Cardiff | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy