Newcastle vs Rochdale: result 4-1 and analysis
FA Cup3rd Round ReplaysKick-off on January 14, 2020 at 07:45 PM (UTC)St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Full time
What was the result of Newcastle vs Rochdale?
Newcastle won 4-1 on January 14, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 17′E. O'ConnellNewcastle (o.g.)
- 20′M. LongstaffNewcastle
- 26′M. AlmirónNewcastle
- 82′JoelintonNewcastle
- 86′M. WilliamsRochdale
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Rochdale have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2020 | Wolves(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2020 | Rochdale(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2020 | Leicester(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 28, 2019 | Everton(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Manchester United(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2020 | Bolton(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Jan 4, 2020 | Newcastle(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2020 | Accrington ST(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Dec 29, 2019 | Gillingham(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 2-3 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Newcastle win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Rochdale win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | Rochdale 1-1 Newcastle | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rochdale score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Rochdale | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy