Carlisle vs Eastleigh: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Eastleigh. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,073 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carlisle vs Eastleigh?
Carlisle starts as the favourite with a 245-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,631).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carlisle vs Eastleigh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carlisle
3-5-2- 7D. Ajiboye
- 10R. Linney
- 17L. Duru
- 8C. Whelan
- 30T. Jenks
- 4H. Bunker
- 32C. Camps
- 5M. Feeney
- 15B. Nicholson
- 22J. Williams
- 1A. Desbois
Eastleigh
4-4-2- 11A. Blair
- 12O. Hawkins
- 24J. Cousins
- 7Max Dickov
- 17D. Rankine
- 32J. Williams
- 18T. Dobson-Ventura
- 5I. Bakare
- 2J. Caprice
- 27Reece Johnson
- 1N. Townsend
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 07:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Eastleigh have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Altrincham(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Barrow(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Boston United(home) | 4-2 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Carlisle win, 1 draw, 1 Eastleigh win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eastleigh 1-0 Carlisle | National League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Eastleigh 1-2 Carlisle | National League |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Carlisle 1-1 Eastleigh | National League |
Last archived meeting: Eastleigh vs Carlisle on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Eastleigh score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Eastleigh | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carlisle sit 8th in National League (26 points from 16 matches) and Eastleigh sit 17th (19 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 23 | 26 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 25 | 19 |
A question about Carlisle vs Eastleigh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carlisle vs Eastleigh?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Eastleigh.
- Where and when is Carlisle vs Eastleigh played?
- Carlisle vs Eastleigh is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Brunton Park, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.